A Guide to EURO 2024 Group D

Austria, France, the Netherlands, and Poland make up Group D in the 2024 European Championships.

It’s a tough group and will have no doubt captured the attention of anyone betting on EURO 2024. So, how will the teams line up, what are their odds, and which players should you look out for? Check out the following guide for some EURO 2024 group stage betting tips.

Betting on EURO Group Matches: An Intro for Group D

Group B has been dubbed the “Group of Death”, due to its perceived difficulty. It’s a deserved moniker, considering it contains Spain, Italy, Croatia, and Albania. But Group D isn’t too far behind and delivers some big matchups between top teams.

The group gets underway on June 16th with a game between Poland and the Netherlands, followed by Austria and France the next day. If you’re going to be betting on EURO knockout rounds, don’t overlook this group, as the outcomes of these games could deliver some tasty contests in the Round of 16, including France vs Belgium and Netherlands vs Portugal.

Poland Betting Guide

Poland made it to the quarter-finals of EURO 2016 and the Round of 16 in the 2022 World Cup. They have been consistent over the last few years, and football tournament betting strategies often make room for Lewandowski and Co. But they have been poor over the last year or so. They currently sit 28th in the FIFA World Rankings and were lack-lustre in qualifying. They made it, though, and while the group stage odds suggest they shouldn’t get their hopes up, they still have every chance of repeating their 2016 efforts.

How They Got Here

Poland finished third in their five-team qualifying group, lagging behind both Albania and Czechia and finishing only one point ahead of Moldova. They did beat Albania during that campaign, but they were beaten in the return fixture and also lost against Moldova and Czechia. They qualified for the playoffs by virtue of their Nations League performances and eventually made it through following a comfortable 5-1 win against Estonia and a penalty shoot-out against Wales.

Players to Watch Out For

Wojciech Szczęsny spent eight years with Arsenal and will be familiar to all fans of the Premier League. He left for Juventus in 2017 and has been the main man between the sticks since then, with nearly 200 competitive appearances for the Serie A club. We fully expect him to be the first name on the team sheet, and he will play a very important role for Poland.

Arsenal’s Kiwior and Southampton’s Bednarek will set up in front of Szczęsny while Lewandowski will lead the line up front. The Barcelona forward is 35 and likely won’t feature at many international football tournaments after this. It’s a good chance for him to add to his already impressive tally of goals and caps. Take him out of the equation and Poland are a very different prospect. If he’s in the team and on form, they could pick up the points they need to progress.

Poland EURO 2024 Odds

Poland are the rank outsiders to win Group D. To put things into perspective, they have the same odds of winning Group D as Slovenia have for Group C, even though Slovenia are the tournament’s joint outsider and have been drawn alongside the favourites, England.

They have been decent dark horses in the past and could escape the group and take a shot at a deep run, but form and odds don’t favour them. They have a very tough road ahead of them.

Betting on Poland in EURO 2024

The oddsmakers aren’t giving Poland much of a chance, and based on their qualifying, it’s easy to see why. Fans can take solace in their relatively strong finish, as well as their 1-0 friendly win over Germany in 2023. If that’s the team that shows up, they can upset the apple cart. But they’ll be facing off against a couple of huge teams in the Netherlands and France, and they need something from at least one of those games to progress.

Netherlands Betting Guide

The Netherlands have an excellent record at the European Championships, and based on that, you’d think they’d be a good shout for some EURO 2024 final betting. But many of those successes came over 20 years ago. They haven’t been in the final eight since they hit two consecutive semi-finals in 2000 and 2004. They had one of the best teams in the world in the 1970s and 1980s, and there was a revival in the early 2000s, but when the stars of that team hung up their boots, they didn’t have the same level of quality to replace them.

That seems to be steadily changing now, though. This Netherlands team is arguably the best they have fielded for nearly 20 years. We saw glimpses of it in the Qatar World Cup when they made it to the quarter-finals and lost on penalties to eventual winners, Argentina, but they should be even more prepared now. There are some excellent talents in defence and midfield and while the attack lacks the strength and depth of decades gone by, there are some proven goal scorers in there.

How They Got Here

The Netherlands lost just two games in qualifying, both against France. They finished second in their group, ahead of Greece and Ireland, and were relatively impressive throughout. They conceded seven goals, and while that doesn’t seem too impressive when you consider they played eight games, six of those goals came in their two games against France. Take the French out of the equation, and the Netherlands won all of their games and conceded only once.

The problem is that France were in the equation, those goals and games did count, and they will count again when they face them in Group D of EURO 2024.

Players to Watch Out For

Brighton’s Bart Verbruggen should be the starting goalkeeper for Netherlands. He’s only 21, but he already has a few caps behind him and has played over a dozen times for Brighton this season.

This Netherlands team has been built from the back and features some of the best defenders in the world. Virgil van Dijk has had some shaky moments for Liverpool this season, but he’s still considered to be one of the best—if not the best—in the world. The towering centre-back has bags of experience at the highest level and will no doubt feature prominently in many EURO football betting tips. After all, if he’s at his best, they will be very hard to break down.

Nathan Ake has been a revelation for Manchester City this season and will probably feature alongside his EPL rival. We could also see Daley Blind, Denzel Dumfries, and Matthijs de Ligt in the final squad. Although he’s only been capped a couple of times, Jeremie Frimpong would make for an interesting addition. The rapid full-back was a key part of Leverkusen’s surprise title success this year, and he could give them something different in defence and attack.

In midfield, Frankie de Jong may return from injury in time for the tournament, and he could partner Koopmeiners, Gravenberch, and the experienced Wijnaldum.

There are more Premier League players upfront with Cody Gakpo. He hasn’t been as explosive or clinical as Liverpool fans may have hoped, but he has been more consistent in an orange shirt and can partner with the likes of Bergwijn, Depay, and Weghorst.

Netherlands EURO 2024 Odds

With the exception of Italy in the Group B “Group of Death”, the Netherlands are the shortest-priced second favourite for all EURO 2024 groups. The oddsmakers are fairly sure that they will get the better of Austria and Poland and think that the group winner will come down to the match between France and the Netherlands on June 21st.

The good news is that this big game comes in the second gameweek and not the last, so it won’t be a case of two teams taking it easy with the knowledge that they’ll advance regardless. Their tournaments could still be on the line, so it could be an explosive game. And that’s assuming they beat Poland in their opener. They are the clear favourites to secure three points, but Poland will set out to frustrate them and could take points from them.

Betting on Netherlands in EURO 2024

In tournaments past, the Netherlands have excelled in attack. That’s not necessarily the case now, but there are some capable players here and they’ll have the support of an enviable defensive line that includes some of the best defenders in the world right now.

Whether they can stop the likes of Mbappé and Lewandowski remains to be seen, but it will certainly make for exciting viewing for the neutrals. They could be a genuine contender if their star players find their form and the likes of Ake and Van Dijk play as well as we know they can. At the very least, they should comfortably make it out of the group, and from there, anything can happen.

Austria Betting Guide

Including 2024, Austria have qualified for four of the last five European Championships. However, they have never made it past the Round of 16 and didn’t appear in any EUROs prior to 2008. Their World Cup record isn’t much better, as they haven’t played on the biggest stage since 1998.

If you’re planning some EURO betting strategies, however, none of this really matters. Anything can happen in 90 minutes of football, and Austria have the talent to grab a couple of wins and head into the knockouts. So, if you’re hoping for some winning EURO bets in this group, read the following and make sure you’re familiar with this potential dark horse.

How They Got Here

Austria had a very tough group and were tasked with finishing first or second while facing off against Belgium, Sweden, Azerbaijan, and Estonia. They finished second in the end and were just one point behind Belgium in a campaign that included two big wins over Sweden and an early draw against Belgium. They also impressed in their March friendlies when they played teams that have made it to the finals, including a 6-1 drumming of Türkiye and a 2-0 away win against Slovakia.

Players to Watch Out For

Austrian mainstay David Alaba will undergo late fitness tests to see if he’s ready for the trip to Germany. The 31-year-old Madrid man has been capped over 100 times and they’ll be crossing their fingers and hoping he’s ready to go in June.

Marcel Sabitzer was a hero during qualifying and we expect him to feature prominently here as well. His time in the Premier League with Man Utd didn’t really work out and ended with injury, but he has since moved to Dortmund and has put in some solid performances. He is nearing 80 caps for Austria and gives them some creativity in midfield as well as a little extra in attack.

Christoph Baumgartner and Michael Gregoritsch will be pivotal for Austria as well. We’ll likely see their names included in the final squad list.

Austria EURO 2024 Odds

Austria have the third-highest group stage odds for Group D, and their total tournament odds are on par with the likes of Scotland and Hungary, both of which have been drawn in Group A along with the hosts. They are up against it in their opener, but they might be happy to be getting that game out of the way first.

Betting on Austria in EURO 2024

Austria begin this tournament with the third highest group stage odds, but there should be some close games here and they will fancy their chances against all other teams. They will have to play out of their skin to finish top of a group that contains the world champions and an impressive Netherlands team, but the third-place-finishers rule means they could advance to the next round with just one or two good results.

If they can limit Mbappé’s freedom and keep those creative French players quiet, they could get something out of their opener. Confidence will be high from that point, and all eyes will be on their game against the group’s outsiders, Poland. Admittedly, it’s not their most likely path out of the group and they will fancy their chances against the Netherlands more than France, but the opening games of major tournaments can be nervy affairs. They will be trying to take advantage of that.

France Betting Guide

France are one of the clear favourites for EURO 2024. They will also field some of the tournament’s most exciting players, including Mbappé, who seems destined to leave Ligue 1 for new pastures this summer. We discussed them in our main EURO 2024 betting guide, but there’s a lot more than needs to be said, so let’s take a look!

How They Got Here

The qualifiers gave us a good idea of how France might fare against the Netherlands, as they were in the same group, along with Greece (beaten by Georgia in the playoffs), the Republic of Ireland, and Gibraltar.

France won seven of their eight games and drew the other one. Their only dropped points came against Greece. Mbappé netted nine times during the campaign, and they beat the Netherlands 4-0 at home and 2-1 away. They also recorded an impressive 14-0 win against Gibraltar.

It doesn’t bode well for the Netherlands, but it hasn’t all been plain sailing for France. They lost a home friendly against Germany in March 2024 and were also beaten by the Germans in September 2023.

Players to Watch Out For

France are one of the clear favourites for EURO 2024. They will also field some of the tournament’s most exciting players, including Mbappé, who seems destined to leave Ligue 1 for new pastures this summer. We discussed them in our main EURO 2024 betting guide, but there’s a lot more than needs to be said, so let’s ta

Mike Maignan has probably given French manager Didier Deschamps a few sleepless nights recently, as the AC Milan shot-stopper injured his thigh muscle just six weeks before the tournament. If he’s fit, he’ll be the first name on the team sheet, but that’s a big “if” right now and France may need to turn to Brice Samba or Alphonse Areola. 

Theo Hernandez is one of the best fullbacks in the world right now and he is definitely one to keep an eye out for. He will likely partner a few Premier League players in defence, including Arsenal’s Saliba, and both Fofana and Disasi from Chelsea. Konate of Liverpool could also get the nod if he stays fit.

As solid as the French backline is, it’s in midfield and attack where this team truly shines. Rabiot and Thuram are both exciting players, and the EUROs could be where the young Warren Zaire-Emery shows everyone what he can do. 

In attack, it’s all about Mbappé, considered by many to be the best player in the world. He’s fast, skilful, and unstoppable when in form. More importantly, he always seems to show up at the big tournaments. It’s often where we see the best of him, and it doesn’t get much better than the best of Mbappé.

Other players to look out for include Kingsley Coman and Ousmane Dembele. Giroud may also find his way into the squad. He’s in his late thirties now, but he gives them something they don’t really have elsewhere. It’s also good to keep experienced players like Giroud around when you have a young and ambitious squad.

Big forwards like this always feature in football tournament betting strategies, so if you fancy staking some money on French strikers getting their hands on the Golden Boot, check out our EURO 2024 Top Goal Scorer market.ke a look!

France EURO 2024 Odds

France are clear favourites for the group and second favourites for the whole competition. The odds also heavily favour them for their opening game against Austria (subject to change, final match odds may differ). The strength of France and outsider potential of the Netherlands is why Group D is currently the favourite to produce the winning team, but only by a fraction and that could chFrance are clear favourites for the group and second favourites for the whole competition. The odds also heavily favour them for their opening game against Austria (subject to change, final match odds may differ). The strength of France and outsider potential of the Netherlands is why Group D is currently the favourite to produce the winning team, but only by a fraction and that could change quickly.ange quickly.

Betting on France in EURO 2024

We would be very surprised if France didn’t finish in the top two for this group. We fully expect to see Les Blues on our list of EURO knockout stage odds and expect they will enter that game as the favourites. Anything less than the semi-final would surely be seen as a failure back in France, and most will expect them to bring back the trophy.

But nothing is guaranteed. We could see a repeat of EURO 2008 when France began as one of the favourites, secured a single point from their three group games, and finished bottom. The Netherlands were one of the teams that sealed their fate back then, and they’ll be hoping for the same again.

Group D Group Stage Odds

France and the Netherlands are the clear favourites for Group D. Current group stage odds suggest that France will have an easier time of it while the Netherlands will comfortably finish second. But nothing is set in stone, and both Austria and Poland will be trying to muscle in on the top two positions.

The winner of Group D will play the runner-up of Group F (Portugal, Türkiye, Czechia, Georgia), while the runner-up will go up against the second-place team in Group E (Belgium, Slovakia, Romania, Ukraine). There are no easy games at this level, but the prospect of playing Ukraine or Türkiye will certainly appeal more than what could await the team that finishes third. It's a big incentive for these teams to push in every game, with Austria and Poland knowing that they must get some points against France and/or Netherlands if they have a chance.

It makes for an interesting prospect and should give us a very competitive group.

Summary: The Best Odds When Betting on EURO Group Matches

Stay tuned to our EURO 2024 coverage for top knockout betting tips, including guides to betting on the EURO final and all of the games leading up to it. Casumo members can also collect a host of offers throughout the tournament, all while benefiting from highly competitive odds in every game.

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Index: The Euro 2024 Betting Guide

1. EURO 2024 Betting Guide
2. The Stages of EURO 2024 Explained
3. EURO 2024: Strategies and Tips
4. The Groups: Group A, Group B, Group C, Group D, Group E and Group F
5. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Round of 16
6. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Quarter-Finals
7. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Semi-Finals