Betting on the EURO 2024 Round of 16

The group stages are over, and now we’re preparing for the final stretch of EURO 2024 with the Round of 16.

These games kick off on Saturday, June 29th, and in this guide, we’ll look ahead, studying the biggest games, providing some knockout betting tips, and checking the EURO 2024 Round of 16 betting markets

Switzerland vs Italy—June 29th

This June 29th fixture offers some very intriguing EURO 2024 Round of 16 betting possibilities. It’s a clash between 2 nations that know each other well. Italy have underperformed thus far while Switzerland have exceeded expectations and gone close to beating the hosts.

We promised some knockout betting tips, and our first one is to pay very close attention to this game.

Bet on Switzerland vs Italy.

Switzerland’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Switzerland were excellent in their opening game against Hungary. Prior to the tournament, many thought that the Swiss would be fighting it out with Hungary for second place. It was a big game, and Switzerland were excellent, coming away with a 3-1 victory.

They stumbled against Scotland, picking up a point, and they finished by going close against hosts Germany. They held their own for most of that game and if not for a stoppage time equaliser, would have topped the group.

Keep an eye out for Ndoye, one of the stars of the tournament so far. If he plays like he did against Hungary and Germany, he’ll make life very difficult for Italy.

Italy’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Betting on Italy in EURO 2024 could provide some good value, as the Azzurri’s odds have drifted since the tournament began. It’s no surprise when you consider how they got to the Round of 16.

They began with a 2-1 win against a resilient Albania before losing 1-0 against eventual group winners, Spain. In their final game against Croatia, they conceded first and looked set for a third-place finish, only for a late equaliser to save them.

This Croatian game raised some concerns among followers. On the one hand, Croatia, have some of the best players in the world and have been consistent at previous tournaments. This time around, however, they were very poor. Their defence was cut open at will by Spain and Albania, resulting in scores of 3-0 and 2-2 respectively. And yet, they held Italy off for most of the game and came away with a draw.

Never write off the Italians, though, as they have a lot of experience and some fantastic players.

Switzerland and Italy Head-to-Head

Italy have beaten Switzerland 29 times and lost just 7 times. There have also been 24 draws, and this is the most common result in the last couple of decades. They have played 8 times since 1999 and have drawn 6 of those, with Italy winning 2.

They are familiar foes on the world stage, having played 2 World Cup games and one EURO game in 2021. In keeping with recent tradition, 2 of these were drawn, and Italy won the other 3-0, which was the last time they met in the European Championships.

Germany vs Denmark—June 29th

If you’re looking for a game with massive upset potential in EURO 2024, this could be it. The Germans are hosting the competition and have looked decent throughout, but Denmark managed to frustrate England, holding them to a 1-1 draw, while Germany were nearly undone in their final group game against Switzerland.

Bet on Germany vs Denmark.

Germany’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Germany’s Euro 2024 odds have plummeted since the opening game. They turned on the style in that one to beat Scotland before walking out comfortable 2-0 winners against Hungary. They didn’t have everything their own way in their final game against Switzerland, though.

The Swiss scored within half an hour. Germany struggled to reply, despite registering 18 shots on target. They were saved their blushes by a stoppage-time equaliser, but it exposed some potential flaws in the German squad, including a lack of clinical finishing. After all, just 3 of those 18 shots were on target.

Denmark’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Denmark have struggled to take control of games so far, but they are unbeaten and look fairly solid at the back. They drew 1-1 with both Slovenia and England before drawing 0-0 with Serbia, resigning the latter to a last-placed finish.

It doesn’t sound like the stuff that back page headlines are made of, but there is immense quality in this team, and if they can hold off the German attack and frustrate them as they did with England, one of those stars could silence the home crowd.

Germany and Denmark Head-to-Head

Germany and Denmark drew their last 2 games 1-1 (first in 2017 and then in 2021). In 3 friendly fixtures before that, Denmark won 2 and drew the third. But their biggest game in the last couple of decades came in EURO 2012, with Germany walking away 2-1 winners.

It’s worth noting that a single goal has been enough to separate these 2 sides since a 2-0 German victory in 1996, and you have to go all the way back to 1961 to find a time when the winning margin was greater than 2.

England vs Slovakia—June 30th

England topped their group; Slovakia got here via a third-place finish. EURO knockout stage odds are heavily in England’s favour, but despite being undefeated thus far, not everything has gone their way.

Bet on England vs Slovakia.

England’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

On June 25th, England played their final group game and qualified at the top of the group, having conceded only one goal. Job done, right? Well, yes, but it was far from a satisfactory job in the eyes of their fans.

Boss Gareth Southgate was booed and pelted with empty plastic cups as he greeted fans, and the team were mocked on social media. It’s harsh, but it’s easy to see why English fans have been so frustrated.

England were explosive in the opening minutes of their first game against Serbia, with Bellingham getting on the scoresheet and looking impressive. But then they sat back and ultimately settled for a 1-0 victory. Against Denmark, they were lacklustre, walking away with a single point, and while they were better against Slovenia, they didn’t score. 

Yes, they won the group, but the concern among fans is that they only scored twice in their 3 group games and couldn’t score against Slovenia (a team ranked over 50 places below them). This is a team that contains some of the highest scorers in Europe for 2024, including Kane, Foden, Bellingham, and Watkins, and yet they struggled to find the back of the net.

Slovakia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Slovakia beat Belgium in their opener, a result that few people saw coming. Slovakia’s EURO 2024 odds didn’t change that much, as many saw it as a one-off, and even now, they are one of the rank outsiders, but they proved that they have what it takes to deliver big shocks.

They finished off the group stage with a draw against group-winners Romania and will fancy their chances at frustrating England.

England and Slovakia Head-to-Head

England and Slovakia have met on 6 previous occasions and England have won 5 of them, with the other being a 0-0 drawn at EURO 2016. They’re usually close games, though, with all but one of them (a 4-0 victory in a 2019 friendly) being settled by a single goal.

Spain vs Georgia—June 30th

This game has the widest odds range of all EURO 2024 Round of 16 betting markets, with Spain being the massive favourites. But Portugal were also big favourites to beat Georgia in the group stage, and they lost 2-0. Anything can happen.

Bet on Spain vs Georgia.

Spain’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Spain’s EURO 2024 odds have been slashed since the start of the tournament, as they have been nothing short of excellent. They won all of their games and didn’t concede a single goal, despite being drawn into the Group of Death and fielding a near second-string team in their final game.

There are questions about how clinical they can be against stronger teams, and they lack some of the experience seen in other squads, but they’re playing some excellent football.

Georgia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

If you were thinking about betting on EURO knockout rounds before the start of the tournament, you probably didn’t expect to see Georgia here. They were the rank outsiders. But here they are, and they got here on merit after some fantastic performances.

The excellent Kvaratskhelia has been a big part of their success, but they’ve also been able to lean on the clinical Mikautadze, who enters the Round of 16 as the tournament’s leading scorer.

After beating Portugal, they will feel invincible.

Georgia and Spain Head-to-Head

Georgia beat Spain 0-1 in a 2016 friendly, but all 6 other meetings have gone Spain’s way, with the last 3 ending 3-1, 1-7, and 4-0.

France vs Belgium—July 1st

If you’re betting on EURO knockout rounds, this is probably the game you’re focusing on the most. They are 2 teams with short EURO knockout stage odds and 2 teams that performed under expectations during the group stage.

Bet on France vs Belgium.

France’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

If you were planning some EURO 2024 semi-finals betting strategies prior to the tournament, you would have almost certainly considered France. They were the tournament favourites for many and had an envious squad with stacks of experience.

But so far, they have failed to live up to that promise.

They beat an excellent Austrian side 1-0 in their opener but followed this with draws of 0-0 and 1-1 against the Netherlands and Poland. They finished second in a group that many believed they would win, and it seems that they’re struggling to get going. That could change in a flash, though.

Belgium’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Belgium lost their opener against Slovakia in the shock result of the round. Sure, they were a little unlucky and had some disallowed goals, but if you had seen Belgium’s EURO 2024 odds at the start of the tournament, you would have expected a big win.

They followed it with a comfortable victory against eventual group winners Romania but were lacklustre in a 0-0 draw against Ukraine. In fact, as they pushed for a winner in that game, they nearly conceded on several occasions. If that had happened, they would have been knocked out.

It seemed like they knew they should have won, and expectations were high, but they also needed a draw. They were torn. They were in disarray. And if they are going to have a chance against France, they’ll need to get over that.

France and Belgium Head-to-Head

France and Belgium have played each other an incredible 75 times, with the first match dating back to 1904 (the first-ever international game for both nations). It’s a fairly even record, with 26 wins for France, 30 for Belgium, and 19 draws, but the recent record is firmly in France’s favour, as Belgium have won just 2 of their last 13 encounters, with their last competitive win coming back in 1981.

Portugal vs Slovenia—July 1st

Portugal go into this game with some of the lowest EURO knockout stage odds, but Slovenia have already frustrated one favourite (England), and Portugal slipped up against Georgia, so who knows what will happen?

Bet Portugal vs Slovenia.

Portugal’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Despite starting the tournament as one of the most exciting and promising teams, Portugal’s weaknesses were blatantly evident against Georgia. They struggled to get the final ball right, didn't create enough chances, and left gaps at the back. Of course, a final group game when you’re already topping the table is a different prospect to a Round of 16 when you need a win, but their confidence will have taken a knock.

Slovenia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Slovenia recorded 3 draws in their group, picking up points against Serbia, Denmark, and England, teams that many thought would beat them. They are already defying expectations by making it this far, and they clearly have enough going for them to continue their run.

They‘ll need to frustrate their opponents again here and then hope to hit them on the break or with a set piece. It’s a big ask, but it wouldn’t be the first shock of this tournament. It wouldn’t even be the first shock involving Slovenia or Portugal.

Portugal and Slovenia Head-to-Head

Portugal and Slovenia have met just once before. Their first-ever game was in March of this year and ended 2-0 to Slovenia. Technically, Slovenia have a 100% record against the Portuguese, but you shouldn’t read too much into that. Don’t start plotting your EURO 2024 quarter-finals betting just yet, as that was a friendly and this is a major competitive fixture.

Romania vs Netherlands—July 2nd

The Netherlands were predicted to finish first or second in their group while Romania were expected to finish second or third at best. As it happens, Romania topped their group while the Netherlands dropped to third in theirs.

The Netherlands will still enter as the heavy favourite, but their EURO 2024 round of 16 betting odds are higher than they might have been otherwise.

Bet on Romania vs the Netherlands.

Romania’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Although they won their group, Romania weren’t exactly explosive. Sure, they were excellent in their opener against Ukraine, a game they won 3-0, but they were then turned over by Belgium before settling for a draw against Slovakia.

Still, they won the group and will be confident against this Netherlands team.

The Netherlands Euro 2024 Form So Far

The Netherlands were bright and creative in their 2-1 victory over Poland. Gakpo was a big threat, and while they lacked a finishing touch, the attack was free-flowing. They followed this with a 0-0 against France—a game they could have won if not for a late disallowed goal—and were then subjected to a lesson in football by the brilliant Austria.

They will expect a victory here, and we expect a defiant and confident Netherlands team to show up. 

Romania and Netherlands Head-to-Head

The Netherlands have a flawless record against Romania in World Cup qualifying and finals games, but the EUROs are a different matter. They have met 3 times in qualifiers and finals, and have won 1, lost 1, and drawn 1. The Netherlands have won the last 4 fixtures, and all were by 2 to 4 goals.

England vs Slovakia—June 30th

England topped their group; Slovakia got here via a third-place finish. EURO knockout stage odds are heavily in England’s favour, but despite being undefeated thus far, not everything has gone their way.

Bet on England vs Slovakia.

England’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

On June 25th, England played their final group game and qualified at the top of the group, having conceded only one goal. Job done, right? Well, yes, but it was far from a satisfactory job in the eyes of their fans.

Boss Gareth Southgate was booed and pelted with empty plastic cups as he greeted fans, and the team were mocked on social media. It’s harsh, but it’s easy to see why English fans have been so frustrated.

England were explosive in the opening minutes of their first game against Serbia, with Bellingham getting on the scoresheet and looking impressive. But then they sat back and ultimately settled for a 1-0 victory. Against Denmark, they were lacklustre, walking away with a single point, and while they were better against Slovenia, they didn’t score. 

Yes, they won the group, but the concern among fans is that they only scored twice in their 3 group games and couldn’t score against Slovenia (a team ranked over 50 places below them). This is a team that contains some of the highest scorers in Europe for 2024, including Kane, Foden, Bellingham, and Watkins, and yet they struggled to find the back of the net.

Slovakia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Slovakia beat Belgium in their opener, a result that few people saw coming. Slovakia’s EURO 2024 odds didn’t change that much, as many saw it as a one-off, and even now, they are one of the rank outsiders, but they proved that they have what it takes to deliver big shocks.

They finished off the group stage with a draw against group-winners Romania and will fancy their chances at frustrating England.

England and Slovakia Head-to-Head

England and Slovakia have met on 6 previous occasions and England have won 5 of them, with the other being a 0-0 drawn at EURO 2016. They’re usually close games, though, with all but one of them (a 4-0 victory in a 2019 friendly) being settled by a single goal.

Spain vs Georgia—June 30th

This game has the widest odds range of all EURO 2024 Round of 16 betting markets, with Spain being the massive favourites. But Portugal were also big favourites to beat Georgia in the group stage, and they lost 2-0. Anything can happen.

Bet on Spain vs Georgia.

Spain’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Spain’s EURO 2024 odds have been slashed since the start of the tournament, as they have been nothing short of excellent. They won all of their games and didn’t concede a single goal, despite being drawn into the Group of Death and fielding a near second-string team in their final game.

There are questions about how clinical they can be against stronger teams, and they lack some of the experience seen in other squads, but they’re playing some excellent football.

Georgia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

If you were thinking about betting on EURO knockout rounds before the start of the tournament, you probably didn’t expect to see Georgia here. They were the rank outsiders. But here they are, and they got here on merit after some fantastic performances.

The excellent Kvaratskhelia has been a big part of their success, but they’ve also been able to lean on the clinical Mikautadze, who enters the Round of 16 as the tournament’s leading scorer.

After beating Portugal, they will feel invincible.

Georgia and Spain Head-to-Head

Georgia beat Spain 0-1 in a 2016 friendly, but all 6 other meetings have gone Spain’s way, with the last 3 ending 3-1, 1-7, and 4-0.

France vs Belgium—July 1st

If you’re betting on EURO knockout rounds, this is probably the game you’re focusing on the most. They are 2 teams with short EURO knockout stage odds and 2 teams that performed under expectations during the group stage.

Bet on France vs Belgium.

France’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

If you were planning some EURO 2024 semi-finals betting strategies prior to the tournament, you would have almost certainly considered France. They were the tournament favourites for many and had an envious squad with stacks of experience.

But so far, they have failed to live up to that promise.

They beat an excellent Austrian side 1-0 in their opener but followed this with draws of 0-0 and 1-1 against the Netherlands and Poland. They finished second in a group that many believed they would win, and it seems that they’re struggling to get going. That could change in a flash, though.

Belgium’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Belgium lost their opener against Slovakia in the shock result of the round. Sure, they were a little unlucky and had some disallowed goals, but if you had seen Belgium’s EURO 2024 odds at the start of the tournament, you would have expected a big win.

They followed it with a comfortable victory against eventual group winners Romania but were lacklustre in a 0-0 draw against Ukraine. In fact, as they pushed for a winner in that game, they nearly conceded on several occasions. If that had happened, they would have been knocked out.

It seemed like they knew they should have won, and expectations were high, but they also needed a draw. They were torn. They were in disarray. And if they are going to have a chance against France, they’ll need to get over that.

France and Belgium Head-to-Head

France and Belgium have played each other an incredible 75 times, with the first match dating back to 1904 (the first-ever international game for both nations). It’s a fairly even record, with 26 wins for France, 30 for Belgium, and 19 draws, but the recent record is firmly in France’s favour, as Belgium have won just 2 of their last 13 encounters, with their last competitive win coming back in 1981.

Portugal vs Slovenia—July 1st

Portugal go into this game with some of the lowest EURO knockout stage odds, but Slovenia have already frustrated one favourite (England), and Portugal slipped up against Georgia, so who knows what will happen?

Bet Portugal vs Slovenia.

Portugal’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Despite starting the tournament as one of the most exciting and promising teams, Portugal’s weaknesses were blatantly evident against Georgia. They struggled to get the final ball right, didn't create enough chances, and left gaps at the back. Of course, a final group game when you’re already topping the table is a different prospect to a Round of 16 when you need a win, but their confidence will have taken a knock.

Slovenia’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Slovenia recorded 3 draws in their group, picking up points against Serbia, Denmark, and England, teams that many thought would beat them. They are already defying expectations by making it this far, and they clearly have enough going for them to continue their run.

They‘ll need to frustrate their opponents again here and then hope to hit them on the break or with a set piece. It’s a big ask, but it wouldn’t be the first shock of this tournament. It wouldn’t even be the first shock involving Slovenia or Portugal.

Portugal and Slovenia Head-to-Head

Portugal and Slovenia have met just once before. Their first-ever game was in March of this year and ended 2-0 to Slovenia. Technically, Slovenia have a 100% record against the Portuguese, but you shouldn’t read too much into that. Don’t start plotting your EURO 2024 quarter-finals betting just yet, as that was a friendly and this is a major competitive fixture.

Romania vs Netherlands—July 2nd

The Netherlands were predicted to finish first or second in their group while Romania were expected to finish second or third at best. As it happens, Romania topped their group while the Netherlands dropped to third in theirs.

The Netherlands will still enter as the heavy favourite, but their EURO 2024 round of 16 betting odds are higher than they might have been otherwise.

Bet on Romania vs the Netherlands.

Romania’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

Although they won their group, Romania weren’t exactly explosive. Sure, they were excellent in their opener against Ukraine, a game they won 3-0, but they were then turned over by Belgium before settling for a draw against Slovakia.

Still, they won the group and will be confident against this Netherlands team.

The Netherlands Euro 2024 Form So Far

The Netherlands were bright and creative in their 2-1 victory over Poland. Gakpo was a big threat, and while they lacked a finishing touch, the attack was free-flowing. They followed this with a 0-0 against France—a game they could have won if not for a late disallowed goal—and were then subjected to a lesson in football by the brilliant Austria.

They will expect a victory here, and we expect a defiant and confident Netherlands team to show up. 

Romania and Netherlands Head-to-Head

The Netherlands have a flawless record against Romania in World Cup qualifying and finals games, but the EUROs are a different matter. They have met 3 times in qualifiers and finals, and have won 1, lost 1, and drawn 1. The Netherlands have won the last 4 fixtures, and all were by 2 to 4 goals.

Austria vs Türkiye—July 2nd

This could be an explosive one if the group stage is anything to go by—it’s one of the ones we’re looking forward to the most.

Bet on Austria vs Türkiye.

Türkiye Euro 2024 Form So Far

Türkiye were poor against Portugal but solid against Georgia. In their game against Czechia, they were up against 10 men for the majority and found a winner late on. They were resilient. But they also saw an incredible 11 cards and had to work very hard. It may have taken a lot out of them, and those cards mean they will be without their captain and talisman, Calhanoglu, as well as Akaydin.

If they thought Czechia were tough, wait until they go up against an in-form Austria.

Austria and Türkiye Head-to-Head

Unsurprisingly, the EURO knockout stage odds favour Austria for this one. They are the in-form team. The historical head-to-heads lean towards Türkiye, but recent results are in Austria’s favour. Türkiye have won 9 of their 17 encounters, but their most recent game, in 2024, ended 6-1 to the Austrians. 

Austria’s Euro 2024 Form So Far

All betting strategies for knockout stages include a dark horse, and in the eyes of many, the dark horse for EURO 2024 is Austria. It’s a label they have been given many times before, but they are actually living up to it now. They topped their group ahead of France and the Netherlands and have looked excellent so far.

Baumgartner has been one of the key pieces of the Austrian resurgence, but there is no single standout player. They work well as a team and have found a level of coherence that has eluded many bigger teams.

Betting Strategies for Knockout Stages

EURO 2024 got off to an explosive start, with a red card and 6 goals in the first game. We’ve seen a lot of goals from outside the area and seem to be on course for some huge yellow card and own-goal numbers. But things can change during the knockout rounds. Maybe that modest total goal count will increase, maybe the own goals will stop—only time will tell. To help you going forward, here are some tournament betting strategies for the knockout rounds:

• Upset potential in EURO 2024: There could be several upsets on the cards with Georgia, Slovenia, and Slovakia, as well as dark horses Austria. But the odds are big for a reason, and while upsets are common, don’t expect them.
• Penalty shootout predictions EURO 2024: Penalty shootouts are more common when 2 big teams clash, as neither wants to lose and both defend heavily. If you’re placing bets on match winners, consider betting on the team to qualify instead, as it will include a penalty shootout win.
• The draw: You don’t need to wait to plot your EURO 2024 quarter-finals betting and EURO 2024 semi-finals betting, as we already know which teams winners could face in the next round. So, look ahead and make predictions for future rounds.

Finally, make sure you stay up to date on the tournament’s facts, stats, and odds by checking in with our EURO betting page, EURO 2024 guide pages, and UEFA’s official tournament stats.

Betting on EURO Knockout Rounds with Casumo

We’re more than halfway through EURO 2024 in terms of total games played, but this is where things really get interesting, and we have over 2 weeks of the biggest games yet to play.

We’re following this tournament every step of the way. Stick with Casumo for the best EURO knockout stage odds, as well as insights into every stage of the competition. Check with our promotions page for our latest EURO 2024 offers, and remember to gamble responsibly at all times.

Index: The Euro 2024 Betting Guide

1. EURO 2024 Betting Guide
2. The Stages of EURO 2024 Explained
3. EURO 2024: Strategies and Tips
4. The Groups: Group A, Group B, Group C, Group D, Group E and Group F
5. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Round of 16
6. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Quarter-Finals
7. EURO 2024 Betting Guide: Semi-Finals